Viewing archive of domingo, 16 junio 2002

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 167 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jun 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The most notable event of the period was a long duration C1.0 flare at 16/0814 UTC. There were no optical reports associated with this event, but a CME was evident in LASCO imagery just following the flare, from a presumed source behind the northeast limb, near N35. Active prominences have been visible in H-alpha imagery in this area for the past 24 hours. Other activity included an optically uncorrelated C1.4 flare at 16/0332 UTC. B-class activity was observed in Region 9991 (S21W47) and Region 3 (N00E49). New Region 5 (N13E74) rotated into view and was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain mostly low for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jun a 19 Jun
Clase M20%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Jun 137
  Previsto   17 Jun-19 Jun  140/145/145
  Media de 90 Días        16 Jun 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jun  004/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Jun  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jun a 19 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
PLAIN This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you may have noticed, we are steadily approaching region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather operations is to go through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text discussions of the active regions will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using four digits is for operational purposes only. For historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.

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