Viendo archivo de sábado, 15 junio 2002

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 15 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 166 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jun 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. The largest event was an optically uncorrelated C1.7 flare at 15/0058 UTC. Lesser C- and B-class flare activity occurred in Region 0000 (N18E36), Region 1 (N20E38), and newly numbered Region 3 (N00E63). Region 9997 (N12E31) was combined with former Region 9998 to produce a single beta-class group of penless spots. Other regions that emerged on the disk and were numbered today included Region 2 (S24W08) and Region 4 (S16E10).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low. A small chance for an isolated moderate flare exists for the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mainly quiet. One isolated unsettled period was observed at higher latitudes near the end of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jun a 18 Jun
Clase M25%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       15 Jun 135
  Previsto   16 Jun-18 Jun  140/145/145
  Media de 90 Días        15 Jun 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jun  004/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 15 Jun  003/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun  008/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jun a 18 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
PLAIN This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you may have noticed, we are steadily approaching region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather operations is to go through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text discussions of the active regions will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using four digits is for operational purposes only. For historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

100%

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X:10/09/2017X8.2
Último evento clase M:20/10/2017M1.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas:26/10/2019Kp5 (G1)
Número de días sin manchas en el año 2019:240
Estrías actual días sin manchas:13

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12014M3.7
22014M3.2
31999M2.9
42002M2.4
52011M1.9
ApG
1200340G2
2201416
3199615
4200212
5201711
*desde 1994

Redes sociales