Viendo archivo del martes, 23 abril 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Apr 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 113 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Apr 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity remained at low levels. Minor growth occurred in Regions 9914 (N04E18), 9915 (N11E28), and 9916 (S18E47) and each produced an isolated subflare. Region 9912 (N11W38) showed gradual decay in its trailer spots. A large filament erupted from the southwest quadrant during 22/2230 - 2325 UTC. A CME followed the eruption, but it did not appear to be Earth-directed. New Regions 9920 (S23W03), 9921 (N12E41), and 9922 (N19E56) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. There's a chance for an isolated low-level M-class flare during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to major storm levels. Field activity increased to active to major storm levels during 23/0300 - 0900 UTC following a sudden impulse at 23/0450 UTC (60 nT, as measured by the Boulder USGS magnetometer). This increase was due to a CME passage associated with the X1 limb flare on 21 April from old Region 9906 (S16, L = 151). Activity decreased to unsettled to active levels during 23/0900 - 1800 UTC. The field was quiet after 23/1800 UTC. The greater than 100 MeV proton event that began at 21/0155 UTC ended at 22/2335 UTC (peak 22.9 pfu at 21/1025 UTC). The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began at 21/0225 UTC continued (peak 2520 pfu at 21/2320 UTC). The greater than 10 MeV flux at the close of the period was around 110 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 24 April decreasing to quiet to unsettled levels for the rest of the period. The greater than 10 MeV proton event is expected to end on 25 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Apr a 26 Apr
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón99%80%20%
PCAFin progress
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Apr 175
  Previsto   24 Apr-26 Apr  180/180/180
  Media de 90 Días        23 Apr 198
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Apr  008/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Apr  018/022
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Apr-26 Apr  015/015-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Apr a 26 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%30%25%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo45%35%30%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

44%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/28X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/04/18M1.5
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/04/16Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
marzo 2024104.9 -19.8

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12022M3.7
22001M2.91
32022M1.67
42021M1.1
52022M1.09
ApG
1200262G3
2199627G1
3199416G1
4201714
5200012
*desde 1994

Redes sociales