Viendo archivo del martes, 26 marzo 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Mar 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 085 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Mar 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event of the period
was a C3/Sf from 9878 (N08E01). This region continues to slowly
develop in size and complexity. Minor C-class flares were also
observed in Region 9881 (S03W62). A strong CME observed off the west
limb at around 26/1400Z, appears to have originated from behind the
SW limb. Remaining regions on the visible disk were stable or in
decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9878 has potential to produce isolated M-class
flares. Occasional C-class flares are expected from Region 9881.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet early in the period, but
became unsettled following the onset of a coronal hole high speed
stream at around 26/0100Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at mostly quiet to unsettled levels with
isolated active periods at high latitudes. This weak, coronal hole
related disturbance should begin to subside by day two.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Mar a 29 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Mar 166 Previsto 27 Mar-29 Mar 165/165/160 Media de 90 Días 26 Mar 208
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 007/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Mar 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Mar a 29 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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