Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 octubre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Oct 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Oct 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9682 (N11W10)
produced an M3/1n event at 31/0809 UTC. This region has an Ekc spot
classification and maintains its beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. Two new regions were numbered today as Regions 9685
(N05E68) and 9686 (N16E68).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. There is a continued possibility for a major flare
from Region 9682.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. A weak shock was
observed on the ACE spacecraft at 31/1253 UTC, followed by a 6 nt
sudden impulse at 31/1352 UTC observed on the Boulder magnetometer.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active conditions are
possible on November 1 resulting from a CME observed on October 29.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Nov a 03 Nov
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Oct 221 Previsto 01 Nov-03 Nov 210/200/195 Media de 90 Días 31 Oct 203
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Oct 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov 010/015-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Nov a 03 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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