Viendo archivo del sábado, 13 octubre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Oct 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Oct 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare was a C5/Sf
at 13/0523 UTC in Region 9658 (S15E18). Other activity was
inconsequential. Region 9661 (N15E42) is the largest, most complex
active region on the disk as a moderately-large, beta-delta sunspot
group. However the group has yet to produce significant activity.
New Region 9665 (S26W57) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. C-class flares should continue and M-class flares are
possible. Region 9661 appears to have potential for an isolated
major flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active over the past 24 hours,
although quiet to unsettled conditions have prevailed for most of
the UTC day of 13 October.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Oct a 16 Oct
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Oct 180 Previsto 14 Oct-16 Oct 185/190/195 Media de 90 Días 13 Oct 184
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Oct 018/027 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Oct-16 Oct 008/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Oct a 16 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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