Viendo archivo del jueves, 11 octubre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Oct 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 284 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Oct 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9657 (N19E23) produced
a C4/SF flare at 11/0412 UTC. Region 9661 (N16E69) also produced
minor C-class flares. Limb proximity still hinders a more thorough
analysis, but this region does appear to be a moderately complex
group nearing 500 millionths of white light area. New Region 9662
(N09E42) and Region 9663 (S13E67) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to at low
to moderate levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to minor storm levels. Quiet to
unsettled conditions persisted until 11/1700 UTC when a 11 nT sudden
impulse was observed. Active to minor storming conditions have
persisted since the shock which is believed to be associated with
the 09/1113 UTC M1/2f flare and CME.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at unsettled to minor storming levels with isolated
major storm conditions through day one. Unsettled to active
conditions are expected on days two and three as a coronal hole
rotates into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Oct a 14 Oct
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Oct 175 Previsto 12 Oct-14 Oct 170/170/170 Media de 90 Días 11 Oct 183
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Oct 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Oct 020/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Oct-14 Oct 025/020-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Oct a 14 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 15% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
What are these long and thin eruptions? 5IMF - BT strength 3AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89Unproven theories 341Space Weather Memes 338
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/25 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 133.4 +25.6 |