Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 265 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity remained low. Although the x-ray
background was elevated all day, and significant white light growth
occurred in a few regions, the largest flare activity was just a
C8/Sf at 0645 UTC from Region 9632 (S18E45). Numerous mid-sized
C-class events occurred from a number of the 13 spotted regions
visible. Region 9622 (N12W32) grew dramatically in white light, but
is still dwarfed by Regions 9628 (S17E25) and 9632, measuring 630
and 710 millionths respectively. Two new regions came into view,
9633 (N23E75) and 9634 (N12E76).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Regions 9622, 9628, and 9632 are each capable of M-class
x-ray flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. A brief interval of active
conditions occurred 0900-1500 UTC as the IMF Bz vector turned
southward.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Sep 255 Previsto 23 Sep-25 Sep 260/265/270 Media de 90 Días 22 Sep 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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