Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Activity remained low. Gradual decay occurred in Region
9543 (S23W58), which produced an isolated C-class subflare. Minor
spot growth occurred in Region 9553 (N13E08) early in the period.
The remaining active regions were small, stable, and simply
structured, including newly numbered Region 9556 (S07W42).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low. However, there will be a slight chance for an isolated M-class
flare from Region 9543.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from unsettled to active levels
with brief minor to major storm levels detected at high latitudes.
This activity was likely due to coronal hole effects.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to active levels during the first day as
coronal hole effects continue. Activity is expected to decrease to
quiet to unsettled levels during the rest of the period as coronal
hole effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jul 133 Previsto 26 Jul-28 Jul 135/130/130 Media de 90 Días 25 Jul 155
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 011/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 018/021 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 015/015-012/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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