Viendo archivo del martes, 24 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 205 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity remained low. Region 9543 (S23W44)
produced isolated B- and C-class subflares as it continued to
gradually increase in area. It remained moderate-sized with a minor
degree of magnetic complexity. The remaining regions were mostly
small, stable, and simply structured. New Regions 9554 (N16W61) and
9555 (S08E54) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There will be a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from
Region 9543.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. Active
levels occurred during 24/1200 - 1500 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to active levels during 25 - 26 July.
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on 27
July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jul 133 Previsto 25 Jul-27 Jul 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 24 Jul 156
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jul 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul 012/015-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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