Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 189 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Newly numbered Region
9531 (S06E19) produced several C-class flares, the largest being a
C3/Sf at 08/1619 UTC. This region has emerged rapidly over the past
24 hours, presently comprised of 13 spots in a Dao beta-gamma
configuration. The second largest event of the day, an optically
uncorrelated C2 flare at 08/1141 UTC, appears per SOHO/EIT imagery
to have originated from Region 9530 (S20W52). Region 9532 (N09W46)
was also numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 9531 is a likely source of additional C-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled, with an
isolated active period observed at Boulder during 08/0600-0900 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
Isolated active periods may also occur due to transient fluctuations
in the IMF and moderate elevations of solar wind speed.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jul a 11 Jul
| Clase M | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jul 126 Previsto 09 Jul-11 Jul 130/140/145 Media de 90 Días 08 Jul 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jul 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jul a 11 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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