Viendo archivo del martes, 26 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 177 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event was a
long-duration, optically uncorrelated C7 x-ray flare. This flare
most likely originated from behind the southeast limb and was
probably associated with a large CME observed in the SOHO/LASCO
instrument. The remainder of the period was typified by small
C-class subflares and a general decay of the observable sunspot
regions. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with unsettled and active periods
observed at higher latitudes. The greater that 2 MeV electron flux
reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active over the next three days. A
high speed stream from a recurrent coronal hole should reach the
Earth late on the first day of the period and continue over days two
and three. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to
remain at high levels, at least through the first day of the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jun 168 Previsto 27 Jun-29 Jun 160/160/155 Media de 90 Días 26 Jun 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 008/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 010/015-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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