Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 junio 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 175 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jun 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels. The largest event being an optically uncorrelated C6 at 24/0455 UTC. Region 9511 (N10E00), after producing an X-class flare and three M-class events on 22-23 June, has shown a dramatic decrease in activity and has deteriorated to a simple beta magnetic classification. Only two minor C-class events were produced by Region 9511 today. Region 9503 (N15W75) still retains a beta-gamma classification, but has only produced a minor C-class event during the period. Regions 9512 (S22W09) and 9513 (N23E44) have increased in area and spot count but have not produced any significance activity yet. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Isolated M-class events are possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions for the first two days of the period. Isolated active conditions, especially at higher latitudes, may occur on the third day due to a favorably positioned coronal hole and the resulting high speed stream impacting earth.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jun a 27 Jun
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Jun 195
  Previsto   25 Jun-27 Jun  195/190/185
  Media de 90 Días        24 Jun 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jun  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  008/011
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  008/010-008/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jun a 27 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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