Viendo archivo del martes, 19 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 170 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity decreased to low levels. Isolated,
optically uncorrelated, low-level C-class x-ray flares occurred. An
optically uncorrelated Type II radio sweep (estimated shock velocity
650 km/sec) occurred at 19/0335 UTC. Regions 9503 (N15W07) and 9506
(N18E20) each possessed a minor degree of magnetic complexity, but
were stable through the period. The remaining regions were
simply-structured and stable. New Region 9509 (S10W03) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. There will be a fair chance for an isolated M-class
flare during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active
periods early on the first day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jun a 22 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jun 195 Previsto 20 Jun-22 Jun 190/190/190 Media de 90 Días 19 Jun 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 025/034 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jun 015/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 010/012-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jun a 22 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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