Viendo archivo del sábado, 16 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 167 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9506 (N17E61)
produced today's largest event, a C9/1f at 15/2226 UTC. This region
has rotated more fully into view as a relatively large, bright
sunspot group with mixed magnetic polarities. Substantial growth was
observed in Region 9503 (N13E33) but no flares were reported during
the last 24 hours. Region 9502 (S25E19) showed slow growth and was
observed to produce a C5/Sf flare at 2010 UTC. Region 9495 (N06W73)
displayed growth and enhanced plage today and produced occasional
subflares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate, with the main flare-producing regions being 9502 and 9506,
although regions 9495 and 9503 may also contribute to the activity.
There is a slight chance for a major flare event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 10 MeV
proton event that began yesterday at 1750 UTC attained a maximum of
26 PFU at 16/0005 UTC and ended today at 1210 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be active tomorrow in possible response to recent CME
activity observed on the 13th and the 14th. Predominantly unsettled
levels are expected for the second and third days of the forecast.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jun a 19 Jun
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Jun 208 Previsto 17 Jun-19 Jun 205/205/210 Media de 90 Días 16 Jun 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jun 006/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Jun 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 020/020-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jun a 19 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 86Unproven theories 341Space Weather Memes 338Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/24 | M2.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 128.8 +21.5 |