Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 junio 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity reached high levels. Newly numbered Region 9502 (S26E58) produced an M7/1n flare and CME at 13/1142Z. An M2/Sf flare was also observed earlier in the period from this region. Limb proximity still inhibits a thorough analysis, but the region appears to be a relatively small, moderately complex beta-gamma spot group. Region 9489 (N20W55) produced a number of C-class flares including a C3 with Type II sweep (450 km/s) at 13/0827Z, a C9/Sf with Type II (680 km/s) at 13/1628Z, and an impulsive C7/Sf at 13/1957Z. New Regions 9503 (N13E68), and 9504 (N06E76) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate. M-class flares are possible from Regions 9502 and 9589.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Occasional active periods were observed during local nighttime hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active period are again likely at higher latitudes during local nighttime hours.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Jun 181
  Previsto   14 Jun-16 Jun  170/170/165
  Media de 90 Días        13 Jun 170
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Jun  010/013
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%30%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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