Viendo archivo del lunes, 11 junio 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 162 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jun 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest events of the period were the successive C5 and C7 x-ray bursts at 11/0451Z and 11/0552Z respectively. These events appeared to be associated with activity on the SE limb near new Region 9501 (S14E69), and a filament eruption south of Region 9488 (S19W45). CME's were observed with both events, but did not appear earthbound. Region 9494 (S08W69) was responsible for some minor C-class activity, but though maintaining moderate complexity and size, flare output has decreased considerably. Three new regions were numbered today - Regions 9499 (N18E17), 9500 (N10E71), and 9501, making a total of 15 spot groups on the visible disk..
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. A small chance for an M-class flare exist in several regions, primarily in Region 9494.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electrons were at moderate levels for the latter half of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jun a 14 Jun
Clase M40%40%30%
Clase X05%05%01%
Protón05%05%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Jun 162
  Previsto   12 Jun-14 Jun  160/155/155
  Media de 90 Días        11 Jun 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jun  013/020
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Jun  007/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun  008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jun a 14 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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