Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 153 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9484 (S06E22)
produced several optical flares, the largest being a C1.3/Sf at
02/0019 UTC. This region has exhibited growth in size, spot count
and plage intensity, and is currently in a Dao/beta-gamma
configuration. Two new regions were numbered today: 9486 (N28W08)
and 9487 (N20E75). New Region 9486 has emerged rapidly in a
Dao/beta configuration, but has not yet produced any notable flare
activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low. A chance for isolated moderate flare activity
exists for Regions 9484 and 9486.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels.
The onset of high speed stream effects from a favorably positioned
coronal hole have been evident over the last 24 hours. Minor storm
conditions were observed during 02/0000-0300 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled, with isolated active conditions possible
through June 3, while coronal hole effects remain in progress.
Activity is expected to taper off through June 4 and 5, to mainly
quiet to unsettled conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 134 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 137/140/145 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 009/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 020/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 012/015-012/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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