Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 mayo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 148 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 May 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only a few small C-class flares
occurred. Although no optical flare reports were received, at least
one of the C-class flares (C1 at 28/1556 UTC) was observed by HESSI
to be associated with departed Region 9461 (N22, L=162). All of the
regions currently on the disk are relatively inactive. New regions
numbered include 9479 (N26W56), 9480 (S14E52), and 9481 (N17W44).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. Sustained
southward Bz contributed to active conditions from 28/0900 to 2100
UTC. This activity appears to be associated with the passage of the
structure (CME) following yesterday's shock.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours becoming
quiet to unsettled by the second day of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 May a 31 May
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 May 143 Previsto 29 May-31 May 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 28 May 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 May 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 May 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 May-31 May 010/015-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 May a 31 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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