Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 mayo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 May 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Region 9455 (S18W11) produced two M-class flares early in the period. The first was an M3/1b at 12/2335 UTC with an associated 230 SFU Tenflare and Type IV radio sweep. The second was an M3/Sn at 13/0304 UTC associated with a 220 SFU Tenflare and Type II and IV radio sweeps. Coronal mass ejections followed both flares, but the bulk of the mass appeared to be directed southward. Region 9455 remained a moderate-sized sunspot group with a mix of polarities evident within its interior spots. Region 9454 (N12E32) remained the largest spot on the disk at around 400 millionths, but was relatively inactive. It showed a weak mixing of polarities in the vicinity of its trailer spots. Minor spot development was noted within Region 9451 (S22W39), which produced an isolated subflare late in the period. New Region 9457 (S19E03) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels with a fair chance for isolated M-class flares from Region 9455. There is also a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region 9454.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels. Active to minor storm levels occurred until 13/0600 UTC, followed by mostly unsettled conditions. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux may reach high levels during the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 May a 16 May
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 May 139
  Previsto   14 May-16 May  145/150/160
  Media de 90 Días        13 May 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 May  020/034
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 May  020/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May  015/015-015/012-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 May a 16 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%40%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/28X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/29M3.2
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12001X2.45
22014X1.45
32023X1.2
42024M3.2
52001M3.13
ApG
1199928G2
2200337G1
3201328G1
4200122G1
5199820G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales