Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 abril 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Apr 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 115 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Apr 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9433 (N16W15)
produced two M-class flares during the period. The largest was an
M2/2n at 25/1348 UTC. This event had an associated Type II radio
sweep and a 200 sfu 10 cm radio burst. A coronal mass ejection (CME)
was also observed during this event, however images from the
LASCO/EIT space craft show it to be non earth-directed. Region 9433
continued to grow in area and spot count during the period and
retains an F-type spot group with a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. Regions 9438 (S13E22) and 9439 (S22W28) were numbered
during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. The ongoing development of Region 9433 suggests a
major flare is possible sometime during the forecast period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled conditions barring an
earth-directed CME. There is an increasing chance for a proton event
as Region 9433 continues to evolve and rotate into the western solar
hemisphere.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Apr a 28 Apr
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Apr 194 Previsto 26 Apr-28 Apr 200/210/215 Media de 90 Días 25 Apr 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Apr 011/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Apr 010/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr 010/020-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Apr a 28 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
jueves, 22 febrero 2024
X6.3 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 37Weird SOHO Noise? 11Growth of Cycle 25 405Unproven theories 322Space Weather Memes 334
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/18 | M2.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/16 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |