Viendo archivo del martes, 24 abril 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Apr 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 114 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Apr 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9433 (N17E02)
has produced several M-class flares during the period. The largest
was an M3/1n at 24/0700 UTC. This region has grown significantly
and has a white light area around 1000 millionths. The region
continues to retain an F-type spot group with a beta-gamma-delta
magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. The ongoing development of Region 9433 suggest a
major flare is possible sometime through the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. There is an increasing chance
for a proton event as Region 9433 evolves.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Apr a 27 Apr
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Apr 194 Previsto 25 Apr-27 Apr 200/210/210 Media de 90 Días 24 Apr 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Apr 018/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Apr 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Apr-27 Apr 010/010-010/020-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Apr a 27 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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