Viendo archivo del lunes, 26 marzo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 085 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Mar 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. Two M-class events occurred during the period. Region 9401 (N22E43) produced an M2/1N event at 26/0239Z and Region 9393 (N18E27) produced an M2/1F event at 26/1326Z. Several other C-class events occurred. Significant growth was observed in Region 9393 and the region now has a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Growth was also observed in Regions 9390 (N15W08), 9396 (S06W32), and 9401. These numerous regions above have been producing the bulk of activity during the period. New region 9403 (S13E62) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate with the increasing chance of an X-class event occurring. Continued M-class events are expected from any one of several different active regions now on the sun. Region 9393 displays the best potential for producing an X-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with the possibility of isolated active conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Mar a 29 Mar
Clase M75%75%75%
Clase X20%20%20%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Mar 264
  Previsto   27 Mar-29 Mar  225/230/235
  Media de 90 Días        26 Mar 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Mar  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Mar  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar  008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Mar a 29 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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