Viendo archivo del domingo, 25 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 084 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Three M-class and two C9
events occurred during the period. The largest events were an M2/2N
from Region 9393 (N20E39) and an M2/1N from new Region 9401
(N22E55). Overall, activity increased noticeably during the
reporting period. Five new regions were numbered: 9398 (N20W10),
9399 (S30W09), 9400 (N11E20), 9401 (N22E55), and 9402 (N17E15).
Several different regions produced activity during the day and it
appears that the sun is entering into a highly active period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a good chance of isolated event class events being
produced from several of the different active regions.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with a single,
isolated, mid-latitude period of active conditions occurring at
25/0900-1200 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, barring an Earth-directed CME.
Isolated active periods are possible on the first day of the
forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Mar 217 Previsto 26 Mar-28 Mar 220/220/220 Media de 90 Días 25 Mar 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 006/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar 010/018-005/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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