Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 081 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Three optically
uncorrelated M1 flares occurred during the period, at 22/0515, 0821,
and 1319 UTC respectively. The M1 flare at 0821 UTC had an
associated Type II radio sweep. Active Region 9373 (S05W92) had
mostly rotated over the western limb by the end of the period. No
new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions. The ACE
spacecraft recorded a shock at the L1 point at 22/1250 UTC. This
event initiated a 12 nT sudden impulse as recorded by the Boulder
station. Minor storming was reported at mid-latitudes during the
period of 22/1500-1800 UTC. Activity then returned to unsettled
conditions for the remainder of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Effects from a high speed coronal
stream may be expected during the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Mar a 25 Mar
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Mar 183 Previsto 23 Mar-25 Mar 180/180/180 Media de 90 Días 22 Mar 158
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Mar 007/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Mar 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar 015/015-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Mar a 25 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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