Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 marzo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 21 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 080 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Mar 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 9373 (S07W82) produced two M-class events. The first was an M1 at 20/2104 UTC with an associated Type II radio sweep. This event was confirmed by visual observation from the Sacramento Peak Observatory. The second event was an M1/0n at 21/0237 UTC. Two new regions were numbered today as Region 9391(S04W15) and 9392 (N20W17).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to major storm conditions. Since 21/0300 UTC the geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active. Effects from a high speed coronal hole stream are expected early in the three day period. Higher levels of activity are also possible as a result of the recent CME occurrences.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Mar a 24 Mar
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Mar 159
  Previsto   22 Mar-24 Mar  155/150/140
  Media de 90 Días        21 Mar 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Mar  027/066
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Mar  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Mar-24 Mar  025/020-015/018-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Mar a 24 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo50%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo60%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

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