Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 076 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare of the past
day was a C3/SF at 17/1720 UTC in Region 9373 (S07W34). Region 9384
(N12W35) also produced small flares. Both of these sunspot groups
have been less active this past day than during the day before. New
Region 9385 (S13E42) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Regions 9373 and 9384 are capable of C-class activity and possibly a
small M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Increased levels of activity are
possible on March 19-20 due to a CME which occurred late on March
15.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Mar a 20 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Mar 134 Previsto 18 Mar-20 Mar 130/130/130 Media de 90 Días 17 Mar 161
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Mar 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Mar 004/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Mar-20 Mar 008/008-015/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Mar a 20 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 02% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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