Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 025 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity decreased to low levels. Frequent
C-class X-ray flares occurred. Regions 9311 (N05W86), 9313 (S07W27),
and newly numbered Region 9325 (N10E64) were responsible for most of
the flares, based on analysis of SOHO/EIT images. The largest flare
of the period was a C7 at 25/0713 UTC with SOHO/EIT images
indicating Region 9325 as the likely source. Region 9311 was
crossing the west limb as the period ended. The remaining regions
were stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels on the first day decreasing to low levels on
the last two days of the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jan a 28 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jan 169 Previsto 26 Jan-28 Jan 165/165/165 Media de 90 Días 25 Jan 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 012/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jan 007/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jan a 28 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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