Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 344 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several minor C-class X-ray
events with no optical correlation were observed. Most of the
number regions showed little change with only region 9262 indicating
some slight growth since yesterday. New region 9263 (N18E67) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active due to a high speed
coronal hole stream. The solar wind has maintained an average speed
between 600 to 650 km/s during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantely unsettled to active the first half of
the period becoming more quiet to unsettled during the last half.
Isolated minor storm conditions are possible in the high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Dec 135 Previsto 10 Dec-12 Dec 140/145/145 Media de 90 Días 09 Dec 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 011/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Dec 018/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 014/015-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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