Viendo archivo del domingo, 19 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 324 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The only activity of note
was the occurrence of five C-class flares, the largest an optically
uncorrelated C9 at 19/0207Z. Region 9231 (S24W10) remains the
largest and most complex of the eight active regions currently on
the visible disk as a 40-spot FAO group with beta-gamma
configuration. Region 9235 (N13E20) also warrants attention as a
29-spot EAI group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate, with regions 9235 and 9231 continuing as the most
likely sources of moderate activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quite to unsettled for the next three days, with
the possibility of isolated periods of active conditions on day one.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Nov a 22 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Nov 175 Previsto 20 Nov-22 Nov 180/185/185 Media de 90 Días 19 Nov 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Nov 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Nov 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov 012/015-010/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Nov a 22 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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