Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 313 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. A new region
assigned today as Region 9226 (N10W94) has produced two M-class and
several C-class events. The first event was an M1 at 08/0958 UTC,
which was optically correlated with a CME visible in the LASCO/EIT
imagery. The second event was an M2/1f at 08/1636 UTC. This region
emerged late yesterday and lies in close proximity to Region 9222
(N16W77) and Region 9213 (N04W78). Another region was numbered
today as Region 9227 (S13E52). An impressive full halo CME was
observed on LASCO near 08/0450 UTC, but appears to have originated
behind the visible disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Activity is likely to decrease to low levels on day
three as the regions on the west limb rotate around the disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one and two of the
forecast period. Day three is expected to be unsettled to active
due to a recurrent coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Nov 173 Previsto 09 Nov-11 Nov 170/165/160 Media de 90 Días 08 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 029/039 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 015/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 010/010-010/010-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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