Viendo archivo del martes, 29 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. REGION 9147 (N04E53)
PRODUCED AN C3/SN EVENT AT 29/1519Z. A FAINT SEVEN DEGREE LONG
FILAMENT DISAPPEARD BETWEEN 29/0536-1600Z AT S37W45.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS
EVENT.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 28/2100Z TO 29/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT UNSETTLED TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS FOR THE
PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE FIRST DAY OF
THE FORECAST WITH POSSIBLE MINOR STORM LEVELS DURING THE NIGHTTIME
SECTORS. PREDOMINATELY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH DAYS TWO AND THREE. THIS ACTIVITY IS DUE TO A WELL
POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 AUG a 01 SEP
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 AUG 163 Previsto 30 AUG-01 SEP 165/165/165 Media de 90 Días 29 AUG 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 AUG 017/021 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 AUG 035/030 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 AUG-01 SEP 020/020-012/012-012/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 AUG a 01 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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