Viendo archivo del martes, 22 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 235 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY LOW LEVEL C-CLASS EVENTS
WERE OBSERVED. A MODERATE DURATION C2 OCCURRED FROM 22/0829-0939Z
AND WAS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY AT THE NORTHWEST
LIMB. A SMALL REGION ROTATED ONTO THE DISK NEAR N08E70 AND WAS
NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 9140.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY WAS VERY LOW
DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 AUG a 25 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 AUG 144 Previsto 23 AUG-25 AUG 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 22 AUG 183
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 AUG 009/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 AUG 004/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 AUG-25 AUG 008/012-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 AUG a 25 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
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