Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 231 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT THIS PERIOD
WAS A C5/1F LONG DURATION FLARE AT 18/0445Z FROM REGION 9127
(S37W67). A CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED FOLLOWING THIS FLARE.
REGION 9125 (N26W36), EXHIBITING A BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC
CONFIGURATION, IS THE MOST COMPLEX REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, BUT
OTHER THAN A VERY IMPULSIVE C1/SF FLARE AT 18/1810Z, THIS REGION WAS
QUIET. REMAINING REGIONS WERE MOSTLY STABLE OR IN DECAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT LOW LEVELS.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 17/2100Z TO 18/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS AT MODERATE LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 AUG a 21 AUG
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 AUG 170 Previsto 19 AUG-21 AUG 170/165/160 Media de 90 Días 18 AUG 185
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 17 AUG 009/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 AUG 005/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 AUG-21 AUG 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 AUG a 21 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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