Viendo archivo del martes, 15 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 228 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED, THE LARGEST BEING A C3/SF AT 15/0153UT FROM REGION 9125
(N22E02). REGION 9125 CONTINUES TO BE THE LARGEST AND MOST
MAGNETICALLY COMPLEX REGION ON THE DISK. THE OTHER MAJOR ACTIVE
REGIONS WERE 9127 (S35W31) AND 9129 (S07E33). TWO NEW REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED: 9134 (N06E53) AND 9135 (S15E14).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
WITH AN ISOLATED CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 14/2100Z TO 15/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 AUG a 18 AUG
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 05% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 AUG 194 Previsto 16 AUG-18 AUG 190/185/180 Media de 90 Días 15 AUG 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 AUG 011/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 AUG 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 AUG-18 AUG 012/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 AUG a 18 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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