Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 216 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A LONG DURATION C1.4 X-RAY
EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 03/0808 - 1012Z AND WAS LIKELY ASSOCIATED
WITH A FILAMENT ERUPTION AND CORONAL MASS EJECTION, ORIGINATING FROM
NEAR THE NW LIMB. NEWLY NUMBERED REGION 9115 (N16E77) PRODUCED A
C1/SF AT 03/1848Z. THIS REGION APPEARS TO BE WHAT'S LEFT OF LAST
ROTATION'S, VERY ACTIVE REGION 9177 (N18, L=310). LIMB PROXIMITY
PREVENTS A THOROUGH ANALYSIS, BUT THE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY OBSERVED ON
THE NE LIMB OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS SUGGEST A MUCH WEAKER, LESS
COMPLEX REGION. REMAINING REGIONS WERE MOSTLY QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
AT LOW LEVELS. ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 AUG a 06 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 AUG 154 Previsto 04 AUG-06 AUG 160/170/180 Media de 90 Días 03 AUG 190
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 AUG 009/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 AUG-06 AUG 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 AUG a 06 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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