Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 julio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jul 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 189 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 JUL 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 9071 (N23W48), A
SEEMINGLY SIMPLE BIPOLE, PRODUCED TWO M-CLASS EVENTS, AN M1/SN WITH
TYPE II SWEEP AT 1105Z, AND AN M1/1B AT 1819Z. REGION 9070 (N18E03),
A LARGER AND MORE COMPLEX GROUP, HAD FREQUENT MID-SIZED C-CLASS
EVENTS. LASCO REPORTED A HALO CME, FIRST SEEN AT 1026Z, POSSIBLY
ASSOCIATED WITH A FILAMENT DISAPPEARANCE FROM CENTER DISK. ONE NEW
REGION, NUMBERED 9077 (N18E71), CAME INTO VIEW.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE. REGION 9071 SHOULD CONTINUE PRODUCING LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS
ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS. EFFECTS OF TODAY'S HALO CME ARE NOT ANTICIPATED UNTIL 11 JULY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 JUL a 10 JUL
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 JUL 187 Previsto 08 JUL-10 JUL 195/200/205 Media de 90 Días 07 JUL 180
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JUL 006/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JUL 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JUL-10 JUL 010/010-010/012-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 JUL a 10 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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