Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 junio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jun 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 155 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 JUN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS HIGH. REGION 9026 (N19E54) PRODUCED
AN M6/2B FLARE WITH AN ACCOMPANYING 310 SFU TENFLARE AT 03/1924UT.
THIS REGION ALSO PRODUCED AN M2/1F AT 03/0849UT. REGION 9026 WAS
RESPONSIBLE FOR VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE SOLAR ACTIVITY DURING THE
PERIOD. THIS IS A FAIRLY LARGE (940 MILLIONTHS) AND COMPLEX REGION
(FKO BETA-GAMMA). THE REST OF THE DISK AND LIMB WERE STABLE AND
QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE TO HIGH. M AND POSSIBLY X-CLASS EVENTS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
REGION 8026.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS AT HIGH TO MODERATE
LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS BARRING AN EARTH
DIRECTED CME FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 JUN a 06 JUN
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 JUN 166 Previsto 04 JUN-06 JUN 165/175/185 Media de 90 Días 03 JUN 190
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JUN 012/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JUN 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JUN-06 JUN 008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 JUN a 06 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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