Viendo archivo del martes, 30 mayo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 151 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 MAY 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT OF THE DAY
WAS AN UNOBSERVED C5 AT 2041Z. OF THE 9 SPOTTED REGIONS, REGION 9017
(S13E02) IS THE MOST INTERESTING. IT HAD A C1/0F VERY EARLY IN THE
PERIOD, AT 29/2346Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
AT THE LOW LEVEL.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD VARIED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS, WITH
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS THE MOST COMMON. THIS DISTURBANCE IS
RELATED TO A HIGH-SPEED CORONAL HOLE STREAM, WITH A VELOCITY OF
600-650 KM/S. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS
ORBIT ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS AT APPROXIMATELY 1400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. THE EFFECTS OF THE HIGH-SPEED
STREAM SHOULD DIMINISH, AND STRICTLY UNSETTLED CONDITIONS SHOULD
PREVAIL BY THE END OF THE INTERVAL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 MAY a 02 JUN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 MAY 146 Previsto 31 MAY-02 JUN 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 30 MAY 192
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 MAY 019/024 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 MAY 020/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 MAY-02 JUN 015/018-015/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 MAY a 02 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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