Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 mayo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 146 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 MAY 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD WITH THE HIGHEST BEING A C9/SF AT
24/2117Z FROM REGION 9004 (N14W74). SOME MINOR DECAY WAS NOTED IN
REGION 9004 AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB. THE REST OF REGION 9017
(S15E68) ROTATED ONTO THE DISK AND IS NOW AN EHO BETA SUNSPOT GROUP
WITH APPROXIMATELY 6 SPOTS. NO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT
FROM REGION 9002 (N21W63), 9004, OR 9017.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. ONE
PERIOD OF MINOR STORM CONDITIONS WAS OBSERVED FROM 25/0300-0600Z.
THE SOLAR WIND VELOCITY SLOWLY DECREASED DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE DURING THE FIRST DAY, BECOMING QUIET
TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 MAY a 28 MAY
| Clase M | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 MAY 173 Previsto 26 MAY-28 MAY 165/160/150 Media de 90 Días 25 MAY 196
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 MAY 046/073 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 MAY 020/030 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 MAY-28 MAY 010/010-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 MAY a 28 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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