Viendo archivo del domingo, 7 mayo 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 07 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 MAY 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL. ONLY MINOR B-CLASS ENHANCEMENTS AND SUBFLARES WERE OBSERVED. SEVERAL SMALL REGIONS EMERGED. THE DISK REGIONS WERE ALSO SMALL AND EXHIBITED MINOR EVOLUTION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE AT A VERY LOW TO LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. CURRENT REGIONS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONLY ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS. REGIONS NEARING THE EAST LIMB MAY RAISE C-CLASS FLARE PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. BRIEF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED IN THE 07/0300-0600Z PERIOD. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY SLOWLY DECLINED TO BELOW 400 KM/S NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC (GT 10 MEV) PROTON FLUXES REMAINED SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ABOVE BACKGROUND DURING THE PERIOD BUT WERE DECLINING.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED UNSETTLED PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE. NO RECENT CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 MAY a 10 MAY
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 MAY 131
  Previsto   08 MAY-10 MAY  133/136/138
  Media de 90 Días        07 MAY 187
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 MAY  008/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 MAY  008/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 MAY-10 MAY  007/010-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 MAY a 10 MAY
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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