Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 abril 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Apr 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 108 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 APR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8955 (S22W06) PRODUCED
THE TWO LARGEST EVENTS OF THE PERIOD - A C2/1F AT 17/0028UT AND A
C3/1N AT 17/1734UT. THIS REGION APPEARS TO HAVE STABILIZED,
EXHIBITING LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NOW COVERS 320
MILLIONTHS OF WHITE LIGHT AREA. THERE WAS LITTLE OR NO CHANGE OR
ACTIVITY NOTED IN THE REMAINING ELEVEN SPOTTED REGIONS. NEW REGION
8965 (S16E66) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGION 8955 STILL HAS POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED SMALL
M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE WITH AN ISOLATED MINOR
STORMING PERIOD BETWEEN 17/06 - 09UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE
PERIODS THROUGH THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 APR a 20 APR
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 APR 158 Previsto 18 APR-20 APR 160/165/165 Media de 90 Días 17 APR 183
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 APR 016/023 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 APR 012/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 APR-20 APR 012/015-012/012-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 APR a 20 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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