Viendo archivo del martes, 22 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
: : : : : : : : : : CORRECTED COPY : : : : : : : : : : SDF Número 053 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. THREE M1 X-RAY EVENTS
OCCURRED FROM REGION 8869 (S18W87). THEY WERE: AN M1/2B AT
21/2319Z, AN M1/SF AT 22/0856Z, AND AN M1/SF AT 22/1133Z. SEVERAL
MINOR C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS OCCURRED WITH NO OPTICAL CORRELATION.
REGION 8882 (S16E57) DISPLAYED MODERATE GROWTH IN BOTH AREA AND SPOT
NUMBER DURING THE PERIOD. THE PENTICTON 10.7 CENTIMETER FLUX IS
ESTIMATED TODAY DUE TO ENHANCED VALUES. NEW REGION 8883 (N13E60)
WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. THE POSSIBLITY OF M-CLASS LEVEL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO DECREASE AS REGION 8869 ROTATES OVER THE WEST LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE
PERIOD, BECOMING MORE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE IN THE LAST HALF OF THE
PERIOD TO DUE THE EFFECTS OF A RETURNING HIGH SPEED CORONAL HOLE
STREAM.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 FEB a 25 FEB
| Clase M | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 FEB 164 Previsto 23 FEB-25 FEB 145/135/130 Media de 90 Días 22 FEB 164
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 FEB 015/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 FEB 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 FEB-25 FEB 010/012-015/015-015/023
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 FEB a 25 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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