Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 030 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8848 (S09E27) PRODUCED
TODAY'S ONLY C-CLASS EVENT: A C2/SF AT 1823Z. REGION 8841 (S30W47),
THE LARGEST GROUP ON THE DISK AT 100 MILLIONTHS, WAS QUIET AND
STABLE FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. REGION 8845 (S16E48) APPEARED TO BE
GROWING YESTERDAY AND PRODUCED A B-CLASS EVENT, BUT HAS DEVELOPED TO
A VERY STABLE AND QUIET H-TYPE CONFIGURATION. TWO NEW REGIONS EMERGED
ON THE DISK TODAY: 8850 (S18E25) AND 8851 (N27E42).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS. SOLAR WIND OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE CONTINUATION OF A
HIGH-SPEED CORONAL HOLE WIND STREAM. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUX ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. MOST OF
THE ENHANCED ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME
HOURS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR BRIEF MINOR STORM CONDITIONS AT
HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE NIGHTTIME SUBSTORMS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 JAN a 02 FEB
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 JAN 133 Previsto 31 JAN-02 FEB 135/137/137 Media de 90 Días 30 JAN 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 JAN 022/025 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JAN 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 JAN-02 FEB 015/015-015/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 JAN a 02 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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