Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.
REGION 8841 (S30W35) IS CURRENTLY THE LARGEST GROUP ON THE DISK BUT
WAS STABLE AND QUIET. REGION 8845 (S16W34) EXHIBITED A SLOW GROWTH
TREND. SURGING WAS SEEN ON THE WEST LIMB WITH THE DEPARTURE OF
REGION 8844 (N06W83).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY ACTIVE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THERE WAS A PERIOD OF MINOR STORM LEVELS AT HIGH LATITUDES FROM
1200-1500Z. SOLAR WIND OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A PERSISTING
HIGH-SPEED CORONAL HOLE STREAM. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUXES ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A SLOW DECLINE TO
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD
DAYS AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE CORONAL HOLE BEGINS TO SLOWLY WANE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 JAN a 01 FEB
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 JAN 128 Previsto 30 JAN-01 FEB 130/130/130 Media de 90 Días 29 JAN 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JAN 022/029 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JAN 025/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JAN-01 FEB 020/025-015/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 JAN a 01 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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