Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 002 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE MINOR OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED C1 EVENT OCCURRED AT 01/2245Z. ONLY FOUR MOSTLY STABLE
SUNSPOT GROUPS ARE VISIBLE NOW WITH NO OBVIOUS COMPLEXITY EVIDENT. A
LARGE 22 DEGREE FILAMENT DISAPPEARED FROM NEAR S28W03.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ISOLATED MINOR C-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. DISTURBED CONDITIONS FROM
THE CORONAL HOLE HIGH SPEED STREAM THAT BEGAN ON 30 DEC, CONTINUED
THIS PERIOD. THE GREATER THAN TWO MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS AT MODERATE
TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS WITH OCCASIONAL MINOR
STORM PERIODS AT HIGH LATITUDES. THIS CORONAL HOLE RELATED
DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY DAY TWO. QUIET TO UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL BY DAY THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 JAN a 05 JAN
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 JAN 133 Previsto 03 JAN-05 JAN 130/130/135 Media de 90 Días 02 JAN 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JAN 021/027 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JAN 016/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JAN-05 JAN 015/015-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 JAN a 05 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 65% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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