Viendo archivo del lunes, 13 diciembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Dec 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 347 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 DEC 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A COUPLE OF MINOR C-CLASS
X-RAY EVENTS WERE OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD. NEW REGIONS 8796
(S27W03), 8797 (S35E10), 8798 (S14E73), AND 8799 (S08E74) WERE
NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MAJOR STORM. MAJOR STORM
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD FROM 13/0900 - 1200Z.
THE PRECISE SOURCE OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS UNKNOWN. THE GREATER THAN
2 MEV ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT DECREASED BELOW HIGH LEVELS
AROUND 13/0500Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED AS THE DISTURBANCE MENTIONED ABOVE
IS NOW DECREASING.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 DEC a 16 DEC
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 DEC 166 Previsto 14 DEC-16 DEC 175/185/180 Media de 90 Días 13 DEC 168
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 DEC 011/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 DEC 026/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 DEC-16 DEC 012/015-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 DEC a 16 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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