Viendo archivo de jueves, 25 noviembre 1999

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 NOV 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE WITH THREE M-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS OBSERVED THIS PERIOD. REGION 8778 (S14E10) PRODUCED A VERY IMPULSIVE M2/1B FLARE AT 24/2156Z. THIS REGION, THOUGH RELATIVELY SMALL WITH NO OBVIOUS GROWTH, CONTAINS SOME MIXED POLARITY AND CONTINUED TO PRODUCE C-CLASS ACTIVITY FOLLOWING THE M2 FLARE. REGION 8771 (S15W51) PRODUCED AN M3 FLARE AT 24/2337Z WITH A TYPE II SWEEP AND MINOR DISCRETE RADIO BURSTS. ACTIVITY INCREASED IN THIS REGION AGAIN LATE IN THE PERIOD WHEN A SERIES OF C-CLASS EVENTS CULMINATED WITH A M2/2N FLARE AT 25/1919Z. THIS REGION HAS INCREASED IN SIZE CONSIDERABLY DURING THE LAST TWO TO THREE DAYS AND NOW MEASURES NEAR 820 MILLIONTHS IN WHITE LIGHT AREA WITH A POSSIBLE DELTA CONFIGURATION. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES OR ACTIVITY NOTED IN THE REMAINING REGIONS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT MODERATE LEVELS. M-CLASS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY FROM REGION 8771 WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 8778. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 24/2100Z TO 25/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS WITH AN ISOLATED MAJOR STORMING PERIOD BETWEEN 25/09-12Z. ACE RTSW DATA INDICATED A SHARP TURN SOUTHWARD IN BZ AT AROUND 25/0900Z, BUT THIS LASTED LESS THAN TWO HOURS BEFORE RETURNING TO NORTHWARD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS WITH THE MOST DISTURBED CONDITIONS OCCURRING DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 NOV a 28 NOV
Clase M60%55%50%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 NOV 184
  Previsto   26 NOV-28 NOV  180/175/165
  Media de 90 Días        25 NOV 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 NOV  014/019
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 NOV  018/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 NOV-28 NOV  012/012-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 NOV a 28 NOV
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%35%35%
Tormenta Menor20%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

100%

Últimas alertas

¡Obtén alertas instantáneas!

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X:10/09/2017X8.2
Último evento clase M:20/10/2017M1.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas:05/08/2019Kp5 (G1)
Número de días sin manchas en el año 2019:158
Estrías actual días sin manchas:13

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
11998X3.9
22002M3.1
31998M3.0
42004M3.0
52003M2.7
ApG
1200638G2
2200230G1
3201729G1
4199924
5200319G2
*desde 1994

Redes sociales