Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 noviembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 NOV 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT OF THE PERIOD
WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C9 X-RAY EVENT AT 24/1222Z. THE LIKELY
SOURCE WAS ACTIVE REGION 8765 (L234) WHICH JUST ROTATED AROUND THE
WEST LIMB. A PROMINENCE ERUPTED OFF THE WEST LIMB NEAR N45,A CORONAL
MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED WITH THIS ERUPTION. REGION 8771 (N18W40)
REMAINS THE LARGEST REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK WITH 750 MILLIONTHS
OF WHITE LIGHT AERIAL COVERAGE. A C6/1N FLARE OCCURRED IN THIS
REGION AT 24/1930Z WITH MINOR DISCRETE RADIO EMISSIONS. NEW REGIONS
8779 (S09W27) AND 8780 (S11E51) WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS. REGION 8771 AND OLD REGION 8765 ARE STILL
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT MOSTLY QUIET TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS WITH A
SINGLE PERIOD OF MINOR STORMING AT 24/09-12Z. SUSTAINED NEGATIVE BZ
IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MINOR DISTURBANCE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ACTIVE CONDITIONS DURING
LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 NOV a 27 NOV
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | YELLOW | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 NOV 187 Previsto 25 NOV-27 NOV 185/180/175 Media de 90 Días 24 NOV 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 NOV 013/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 NOV 018/019 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 NOV-27 NOV 012/010-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 NOV a 27 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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