Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 noviembre 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 NOV 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY DECREASED TO LOW LEVELS. THREE SMALL C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES WERE DETECTED, NONE OF WHICH WERE OPTICALLY CORRELATED. REGION 8749 (S18W64) CONTINUED TO SLOWLY DECAY AND PRODUCED A SINGLE SUBFLARE EARLY IN THE PERIOD. REGION 8747 (N10W64) ALSO SHOWED SIGNS OF SLOW DECAY. REGION 8757 (N38W03) SHOWED A MINOR INCREASE IN SPOT COUNT AND AREA, BUT PRODUCED NO FLARES. REGION 8755 (N21E57) WAS DIVIDED INTO TWO REGIONS WITH THE TRAILING REGION NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 8758 (N18E64). NEW REGION 8759 (N10E78) WAS ALSO NUMBERED. IT APPEARED TO BE THE RETURN OF OLD ACTIVE REGION 8731.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8749 AND 8759 MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE FIRST DAY. CORONAL HOLE EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMMENCE EARLY ON 08 NOVEMBER, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DISTURBANCE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX IS EXPECTED TO REACH HIGH LEVELS LATE IN THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 NOV a 09 NOV
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 NOV 150
  Previsto   07 NOV-09 NOV  160/170/180
  Media de 90 Días        06 NOV 154
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 NOV  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 NOV  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 NOV-09 NOV  012/015-015/020-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 NOV a 09 NOV
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%30%40%
Tormenta Menor10%15%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%40%45%
Tormenta Menor15%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%10%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/28X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/29M3.2
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12001X2.45
22014X1.45
32023X1.2
42024M3.2
52001M3.13
ApG
1199928G2
2200337G1
3201328G1
4200122G1
5199820G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales